Kalshi · Other

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Hike >25bps is trading at 2.0% on Kalshi. $600K has changed hands over the market’s life, $26K of it in the last day. It resolves on 16 September 2026, 42 days from now.

By volume it is the second-largest of the 61 open other markets on the board, and $26K of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Hike >25bps	2.0%
No	98.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

9 Mar0.0% – 7.2%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $600K
24h volume: $26K
24h move: 0.0 points
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $561K
Opened: 29 September 2025
Resolves: 16 September 2026
Venue: Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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