Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?
Cut 25bps is trading at 11.0% on Kalshi. $2K has changed hands over the market’s life. It resolves on 17 March 2027, 224 days from now.
By volume it is number 37 of the 61 open other markets on the board.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Cut 25bps | 11.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 89.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $2K
- 24h volume
- $0
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $605
- Opened
- 6 October 2025
- Resolves
- 17 March 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.
More Other markets
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?2.6% · Polymarket · $2.8M
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?2.0% · Kalshi · $600K
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?47.0% · Kalshi · $593K
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?2.0% · Kalshi · $581K
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?50.0% · Kalshi · $507K
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?1.0% · Kalshi · $233K
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?8.0% · Kalshi · $77K
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?7.0% · Kalshi · $36K