Kalshi · Other

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Cut 25bps is trading at 13.0% on Kalshi, down 4.0 points in the last 24 hours. $6K has changed hands over the market’s life, $282 of it in the last day. It resolves on 27 January 2027, 175 days from now.

By volume it is number 29 of the 61 open other markets on the board, and $282 of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Cut 25bps	13.0%
No	87.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

1 Dec0.0% – 52.0%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $6K
24h volume: $282
24h move: -4.0 points
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $5K
Opened: 29 September 2025
Resolves: 27 January 2027
Venue: Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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