Kalshi · Other

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Cut 25bps is trading at 6.0% on Kalshi. $12K has changed hands over the market’s life, $375 of it in the last day. It resolves on 9 December 2026, 126 days from now.

By volume it is number 20 of the 61 open other markets on the board, and $375 of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Cut 25bps	6.0%
No	94.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

25 Oct0.0% – 100.0%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume: $12K
24h volume: $375
24h move: 0.0 points
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $6K
Opened: 29 September 2025
Resolves: 9 December 2026
Venue: Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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