PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Finance

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — OpenAI

OpenAI is trading at 20.0% on Kalshi, up 2.0 points in the last 24 hours. $155K has changed hands over the market’s life, $648 of it in the last day. It runs until 1 January 2040.

By volume it is number 23 of the 26 open finance markets on the board, and $648 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

OpenAI20.0%
No80.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

7 Aug1.8% – 94.2%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$155K
24h volume
$648
24h move
+2.0 points
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$41K
Opened
6 August 2025
Resolves
1 January 2040
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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