PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Finance

Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first? — Anthropic

Anthropic is trading at 83.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $169K has changed hands over the market’s life, $19 of it in the last day. It runs until 1 January 2040.

By volume it is number 22 of the 26 open finance markets on the board, and $19 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Anthropic83.0%
No17.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

12 Aug8.3% – 100.0%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$169K
24h volume
$19
24h move
+1.0 points
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$39K
Opened
6 August 2025
Resolves
1 January 2040
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.

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