PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Yes is trading at 15.1% on Polymarket, down 0.2 points in the last 24 hours. $427K traded over the market’s life, $10 of it in the last day. It resolves on 9 December 2026, 123 days from now.

By volume it is number 662 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $10 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes15.1%
No84.9%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul9.0% – 29.2%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$427K
24h volume
$10
24h move
-0.2 points
Liquidity
$10K
Open interest
—
Opened
12 January 2026
Resolves
9 December 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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