Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes is trading at 33.0% on Polymarket, down 14.5 points in the last 24 hours. $298K traded over the market’s life, $5K of it in the last day. It resolves on 16 September 2026, 39 days from now.
By volume it is number 81 of the 122 open finance markets on the board, and $5K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Polymarket ↗Current odds
| Yes | 33.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 67.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $298K
- 24h volume
- $5K
- 24h move
- -14.5 points
- Liquidity
- $20K
- Open interest
- —
- Opened
- 29 April 2026
- Resolves
- 16 September 2026
- Venue
- Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon
Where this price comes from
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
More Finance markets
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?6.6% · Polymarket · $7.9M
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?86.7% · Polymarket · $7.1M
- Fed rate hike in 2026?55.5% · Polymarket · $6.4M
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1% · Polymarket · $5.0M
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1% · Polymarket · $4.8M
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1% · Polymarket · $4.2M
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.2% · Polymarket · $3.9M
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.2% · Polymarket · $3.7M