PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Culture

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?

Yes is trading at 99.9% on Polymarket. $229K traded over the market’s life, $14K of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 2 August 2026.

By volume it is number 27 of the 34 open culture markets on the board, and $14K of that traded in the last day.

Its scheduled resolution date passed 4 days ago. Polymarket still lists it as open, so the price above is current, but the question may be waiting on settlement.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes99.9%
No0.1%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 100.0%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$229K
24h volume
$14K
24h move
—
Liquidity
$105K
Open interest
$138K
Opened
18 June 2026
Resolves
2 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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