PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes is trading at 73.0% on Polymarket. $259K traded over the market’s life, $26 of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 October 2026, 57 days from now.

By volume it is number 740 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $26 of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Yes73.0%
No27.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul55.6% – 92.4%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$259K
24h volume
$26
24h move
—
Liquidity
$1K
Open interest
—
Opened
11 February 2026
Resolves
4 October 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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