PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes is trading at 56.0% on Polymarket, up 0.5 points in the last 24 hours. $123K traded over the market’s life, $1K of it in the last day. It resolves on 24 October 2027, 439 days from now.

By volume it is number 897 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $1K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes56.0%
No44.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul43.6% – 57.9%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$123K
24h volume
$1K
24h move
+0.5 points
Liquidity
$15K
Open interest
—
Opened
1 May 2026
Resolves
24 October 2027
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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