PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes is trading at 0.8% on Polymarket, down 0.4 points in the last 24 hours. $407K traded over the market’s life, $14K of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 145 days from now.

By volume it is number 667 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $14K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes0.8%
No99.2%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

5 Jul0.0% – 2.5%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$407K
24h volume
$14K
24h move
-0.4 points
Liquidity
$123K
Open interest
Opened
15 November 2025
Resolves
31 December 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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