PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Yes is trading at 0.1% on Polymarket, down 5.0 points in the last 24 hours. $317K traded over the market’s life, $162K of it in the last day. It was scheduled to resolve on 4 August 2026.

By volume it is number 706 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $162K of that traded in the last day.

Its scheduled resolution date passed 2 days ago. Polymarket still lists it as open, so the price above is current, but the question may be waiting on settlement.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

25 Jul0.0% – 32.4%4 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$317K
24h volume
$162K
24h move
-5.0 points
Liquidity
$74K
Open interest
$479K
Opened
25 July 2026
Resolves
4 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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