PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Yes is trading at 0.1% on Polymarket, down 1.3 points in the last 24 hours. $261K traded over the market’s life, $111K of it in the last day. It resolves today, 7 August 2026.

By volume it is number 738 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $111K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

28 Jul0.0% – 21.8%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$261K
24h volume
$111K
24h move
-1.3 points
Liquidity
$42K
Open interest
Opened
28 July 2026
Resolves
7 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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