PredictionBubbles
Polymarket · Politics

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Yes is trading at 1.2% on Polymarket, down 25.8 points in the last 24 hours. $290K traded over the market’s life, $139K of it in the last day. It resolves today, 7 August 2026.

By volume it is number 729 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $139K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Polymarket ↗

Current odds

Yes1.2%
No98.8%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

28 Jul7.3% – 46.7%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$290K
24h volume
$139K
24h move
-25.8 points
Liquidity
$10K
Open interest
—
Opened
28 July 2026
Resolves
7 August 2026
Venue
Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon

Where this price comes from

Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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