PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?

Xi Jinping is trading at 4.3% on Kalshi. $654K traded over the market’s life. It resolves on 2 January 2027, 147 days from now.

By volume it is number 577 of the 830 open politics markets on the board.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Xi Jinping4.3%
No95.7%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$654K
24h volume
$0
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$137K
Opened
11 November 2025
Resolves
2 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →