Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050 is trading at 77.0% on Kalshi. $16K has changed hands over the market’s life, $51 of it in the last day. It runs until 1 January 2050.
By volume it is the third-largest of the 3 open climate markets on the board, and $51 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Before 2050 | 77.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 23.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $16K
- 24h volume
- $51
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $5K
- Opened
- 5 June 2025
- Resolves
- 1 January 2050
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.