PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Finance

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

7,800 to 7,999.99 is trading at 13.0% on Kalshi. $371K traded over the market’s life, $543 of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 143 days from now.

By volume it is number 77 of the 162 open finance markets on the board, and $543 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

7,800 to 7,999.9913.0%
No87.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

31 Dec1.5% – 20.5%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$371K
24h volume
$543
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$187K
Opened
23 December 2025
Resolves
31 December 2026
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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