Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?
Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15% is trading at 1.0% on Kalshi. $386K traded over the market’s life, $287 of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 August 2027, 358 days from now.
By volume it is number 686 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $287 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15% | 1.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $386K
- 24h volume
- $287
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $197K
- Opened
- 8 June 2026
- Resolves
- 4 August 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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