Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?
Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3% is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. $610K traded over the market’s life, $29K of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 August 2027, 361 days from now.
By volume it is number 590 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $29K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3% | 99.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 1.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $610K
- 24h volume
- $29K
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $321K
- Opened
- 8 June 2026
- Resolves
- 4 August 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
More Politics markets
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?0.7% · Polymarket · $74.6M
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17.5% · Polymarket · $57.5M
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1.7% · Polymarket · $55.9M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1% · Polymarket · $54.5M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4% · Polymarket · $54.2M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.7% · Polymarket · $52.6M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.8% · Polymarket · $50.1M
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2% · Polymarket · $48.4M