Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?
Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15% is trading at 1.0% on Kalshi. $1.8M traded over the market’s life, $17K of it in the last day. It resolves on 4 August 2027, 361 days from now.
By volume it is number 336 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $17K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15% | 1.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $1.8M
- 24h volume
- $17K
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $893K
- Opened
- 8 June 2026
- Resolves
- 4 August 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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