PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Renan Santos is trading at 5.4% on Kalshi. $500K traded over the market’s life, $7K of it in the last day. It resolves on 25 October 2027, 443 days from now.

By volume it is number 635 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $7K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Renan Santos5.4%
No94.6%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$500K
24h volume
$7K
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$366K
Opened
5 December 2025
Resolves
25 October 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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