Will Oliver Larkin be the Democratic nominee for FL-25?
Oliver Larkin is trading at 12.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $411K traded over the market’s life, $23K of it in the last day. It resolves on 3 November 2027, 450 days from now.
By volume it is number 670 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $23K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Oliver Larkin | 12.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 88.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $411K
- 24h volume
- $23K
- 24h move
- +1.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $259K
- Opened
- 15 May 2026
- Resolves
- 3 November 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
More Politics markets
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?0.4% · Polymarket · $76.7M
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16.5% · Polymarket · $57.9M
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1.7% · Polymarket · $55.9M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1% · Polymarket · $54.5M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4% · Polymarket · $54.2M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.5% · Polymarket · $52.6M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.5% · Polymarket · $50.2M
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2% · Polymarket · $48.4M