PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?

Miguel Díaz-Canel is trading at 17.0% on Kalshi. $678K traded over the market’s life, $45 of it in the last day. It resolves on 2 January 2027, 147 days from now.

By volume it is number 573 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $45 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Miguel Díaz-Canel17.0%
No83.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$678K
24h volume
$45
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$168K
Opened
3 January 2026
Resolves
2 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →