PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

María Corina Machado is trading at 2.4% on Kalshi. $1.1M traded over the market’s life. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 145 days from now.

By volume it is number 474 of the 830 open politics markets on the board.

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Current odds

María Corina Machado2.4%
No97.6%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$1.1M
24h volume
$0
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$255K
Opened
3 January 2026
Resolves
31 December 2026
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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