Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is trading at 97.7% on Kalshi. $67K traded over the market’s life. It resolves on 4 October 2026, 54 days from now.
By volume it is number 916 of the 927 open politics markets on the board.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 97.7% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 2.3% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $67K
- 24h volume
- $0
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $36K
- Opened
- 10 January 2025
- Resolves
- 4 October 2026
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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