Will James Fishback receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
At least 30% is trading at 6.2% on Kalshi, up 0.3 points in the last 24 hours. $500K traded over the market’s life, $48K of it in the last day. It resolves on 18 August 2027, 375 days from now.
By volume it is number 638 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $48K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| At least 30% | 6.2% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 93.8% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $500K
- 24h volume
- $48K
- 24h move
- +0.3 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $409K
- Opened
- 1 April 2026
- Resolves
- 18 August 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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