PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

At least 1% is trading at 99.8% on Kalshi, down 0.1 points in the last 24 hours. $559K traded over the market’s life, $26K of it in the last day. It resolves on 18 August 2027, 375 days from now.

By volume it is number 608 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $26K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

At least 1%99.8%
No0.2%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$559K
24h volume
$26K
24h move
-0.1 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$189K
Opened
1 April 2026
Resolves
18 August 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →