PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? — Before 2027

Before 2027 is trading at 6.0% on Kalshi, down 0.6 points in the last 24 hours. $1.1M traded over the market’s life, $2K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 146 days from now.

By volume it is number 464 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $2K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Before 20276.0%
No94.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$1.1M
24h volume
$2K
24h move
-0.6 points
Liquidity
—
Open interest
$414K
Opened
11 December 2025
Resolves
1 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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