Kalshi
· Politics
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? — Before August
Before August is trading at 0.1% on Kalshi. $1.2M traded over the market’s life. It was scheduled to resolve on 1 August 2026.
This market has settled — it resolved No. The odds below are the last traded prices before close.
Final odds
| Before August | 0.1% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.9% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- —
- 24h move
- —
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $693K
- Opened
- 25 November 2025
- Resolved
- 1 August 2026
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the closing price on this contract, recorded before the market settled. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
More Politics markets
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?0.3% · Polymarket · $76.4M
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5% · Polymarket · $57.9M
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1.8% · Polymarket · $55.9M
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.1% · Polymarket · $54.5M
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4% · Polymarket · $54.2M
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.5% · Polymarket · $52.6M
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.6% · Polymarket · $50.2M
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2% · Polymarket · $48.4M