PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?

Howard Lutnick is trading at 30.0% on Kalshi. $370K traded over the market’s life, $315 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 144 days from now.

By volume it is number 701 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $315 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Howard Lutnick30.0%
No70.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

17 Dec12.3% – 70.7%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$370K
24h volume
$315
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$96K
Opened
13 December 2025
Resolves
1 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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