PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Donald Trump leave office before January 20, 2029?

Before January 20, 2029 is trading at 24.0% on Kalshi. $531K traded over the market’s life, $773 of it in the last day. It runs until 20 January 2029.

By volume it is number 617 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $773 of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Before January 20, 202924.0%
No76.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$531K
24h volume
$773
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$220K
Opened
12 January 2026
Resolves
20 January 2029
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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