PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Benjamin Netanyahu is trading at 46.0% on Kalshi. $441K traded over the market’s life, $108 of it in the last day. It resolves on 2 January 2027, 144 days from now.

By volume it is number 650 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $108 of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Benjamin Netanyahu46.0%
No54.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

13 Nov0.0% – 73.6%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$441K
24h volume
$108
24h move
0.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$130K
Opened
11 November 2025
Resolves
2 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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