PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Barack Obama is trading at 0.4% on Kalshi, up 0.1 points in the last 24 hours. $3.9M traded over the market’s life, $118K of it in the last day. It runs until 7 November 2028.

By volume it is number 221 of the 830 open politics markets on the board, and $118K of that traded in the last day.

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Current odds

Barack Obama0.4%
No99.6%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$3.9M
24h volume
$118K
24h move
+0.1 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$2.8M
Opened
20 March 2025
Resolves
7 November 2028
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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