Will any part of Venezuela be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
Venezuela is trading at 3.3% on Kalshi, up 0.2 points in the last 24 hours. $377K traded over the market’s life, $6 of it in the last day. It runs until 20 January 2029.
By volume it is number 693 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $6 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Venezuela | 3.3% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 96.7% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $377K
- 24h volume
- $6
- 24h move
- +0.2 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $100K
- Opened
- 3 January 2026
- Resolves
- 20 January 2029
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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