Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Hottest is trading at 67.6% on Kalshi, up 2.4 points in the last 24 hours. $269K traded over the market’s life, $302 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 143 days from now.
By volume it is number 18 of the 34 open climate markets on the board, and $302 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Hottest | 67.6% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 32.4% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $269K
- 24h volume
- $302
- 24h move
- +2.4 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $120K
- Opened
- 9 November 2025
- Resolves
- 1 January 2027
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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