PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman is trading at 26.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points in the last 24 hours. $810K traded over the market’s life, $21K of it in the last day. It resolves on 11 August 2027, 368 days from now.

By volume it is number 532 of the 833 open politics markets on the board, and $21K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Ralph Norman26.0%
No74.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$810K
24h volume
$21K
24h move
+1.0 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$465K
Opened
12 July 2026
Resolves
11 August 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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