PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Politics

Who will recognize Palestine? — Italy

Italy is trading at 7.1% on Kalshi, down 3.9 points in the last 24 hours. $13K traded over the market’s life, $0 of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 143 days from now.

By volume it is number 922 of the 927 open politics markets on the board, and $0 of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Italy7.1%
No92.9%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

28 Jan1.5% – 43.6%10 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$13K
24h volume
$0
24h move
-3.9 points
Liquidity
Open interest
$4K
Opened
4 December 2025
Resolves
1 January 2027
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

More Politics markets

All politics markets →