Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes is trading at 15.5% on Polymarket. $1.5M has changed hands over the market’s life, $12K of it in the last day. It resolves on 1 January 2027, 149 days from now.
By volume it is number 18 of the 23 open crypto markets on the board, and $12K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Polymarket ↗Current odds
| Yes | 15.5% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 84.5% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $1.5M
- 24h volume
- $12K
- 24h move
- —
- Liquidity
- $54K
- Open interest
- $9.7M
- Opened
- 5 February 2026
- Resolves
- 1 January 2027
- Venue
- Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon
Where this price comes from
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts every open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and coloured by probability.
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