Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Yes is trading at 17.5% on Polymarket. $120K traded over the market’s life, $118 of it in the last day. It resolves on 31 December 2026, 142 days from now.
By volume it is number 32 of the 36 open tech markets on the board, and $118 of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Polymarket ↗Current odds
| Yes | 17.5% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 82.5% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Price history
Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $120K
- 24h volume
- $118
- 24h move
- —
- Liquidity
- $17K
- Open interest
- —
- Opened
- 13 May 2026
- Resolves
- 31 December 2026
- Venue
- Polymarket · on-chain, Polygon
Where this price comes from
Polymarket is an on-chain venue settling in USDC on Polygon. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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