Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?
Before Jan 20, 2029 is trading at 21.0% on Kalshi. $494K traded over the market’s life, $2K of it in the last day. It runs until 20 January 2029.
By volume it is number 16 of the 23 open tech markets on the board, and $2K of that traded in the last day.
Trade this on Kalshi ↗Current odds
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 21.0% | |
|---|---|---|
| No | 79.0% |
Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.
Market detail
- Lifetime volume
- $494K
- 24h volume
- $2K
- 24h move
- 0.0 points
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- $197K
- Opened
- 12 May 2026
- Resolves
- 20 January 2029
- Venue
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US
Where this price comes from
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.
To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.
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