PredictionBubbles
Kalshi · Sports

Will Manoel Sousa win the Sousa vs Miranda professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 8, 2026?

Manoel Sousa is trading at 93.0% on Kalshi, up 20.0 points in the last 24 hours. $921K traded over the market’s life, $663K of it in the last day. It resolves on 22 August 2026, 13 days from now.

By volume it is number 390 of the 905 open sports markets on the board, and $663K of that traded in the last day.

Trade this on Kalshi ↗

Current odds

Manoel Sousa93.0%
No7.0%

Prices are the market’s implied probability: a contract at 62% costs 62 cents and pays $1 if it resolves true.

Price history

3 Aug67.8% – 74.2%7 Aug

Hourly samples for Yes. The live board draws every outcome and lets you switch the window.

Market detail

Lifetime volume
$921K
24h volume
$663K
24h move
+20.0 points
Liquidity
—
Open interest
$675K
Opened
2 August 2026
Resolves
22 August 2026
Venue
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated, US

Where this price comes from

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange settling in dollars. The number above is the last traded price on this contract, pulled from the venue’s public API and refreshed every 15 minutes. This site takes no position and sets no price of its own.

To weigh it against the same question elsewhere, open the live board: it puts the busiest open Polymarket and Kalshi market side by side, sized by volume and colored by probability.

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